Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 503.930652 536.039995 569.422123 606.778041 647.486394 690.581964 739.757700
2025-12-28 461.124396 504.420272 551.155493 605.552361 667.377622 735.754727 817.504246
2026-01-04 429.359866 480.192139 536.733904 604.684689 684.653954 776.428094 890.660922
2026-01-11 405.901671 462.649904 527.427552 607.488503 704.677647 820.008059 968.998679
2026-01-18 384.704684 445.730065 516.974870 607.228582 719.867471 857.648124 1041.854085
2026-01-25 369.186399 434.183069 511.645280 612.047321 740.654416 902.581200 1126.387139
2026-02-01 356.061919 424.467723 507.543657 617.522962 761.866116 948.652051 1215.212938
2026-02-08 344.941554 416.381919 504.669862 623.883059 783.985416 996.670348 1309.787495
2026-02-15 332.685990 406.052706 498.137813 624.703215 798.259551 1034.430391 1392.342234
2026-02-22 321.452507 396.355080 491.724674 624.989408 811.351932 1070.819992 1475.180266
2026-03-01 312.305789 388.839261 487.633829 627.908625 827.863928 1112.610912 1568.933045
2026-03-08 302.393730 379.792947 480.947769 626.669134 838.052806 1145.412356 1651.007714
2026-03-15 293.807049 372.142943 475.762157 627.169622 850.633050 1182.388598 1742.721728
2026-03-22 285.560556 364.565973 470.256455 626.773962 861.608733 1217.278275 1833.621282
2026-03-29 277.928140 357.488069 465.068065 626.439719 872.425518 1252.292556 1927.419313
2026-04-05 272.004821 352.506963 462.542454 629.754818 888.799318 1296.915540 2041.615404
2026-04-12 265.412542 346.315839 457.991368 629.725705 899.772816 1333.216326 2144.004941
2026-04-19 260.826430 342.758263 457.021074 634.944952 919.178968 1384.558306 2278.771840
2026-04-26 256.692647 339.666879 456.549557 640.801810 939.780786 1439.120511 2424.992266
2026-05-03 253.040171 337.111469 456.712784 647.554367 962.083105 1497.985463 2585.704062
2026-05-10 247.961809 332.296559 453.307022 648.461363 974.541329 1540.075293 2716.864876
2026-05-17 242.992117 327.468167 449.679148 648.791390 985.922093 1580.814163 2849.413877
2026-05-24 238.992204 323.931357 447.849906 651.879460 1002.116514 1631.405436 3008.620745